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Teacher by day, Buff fanatic by night, and, actually throughout the school day also. I was raised in Boulder during the dark Chuck Fairbanks years by two University of Michigan alums. I knew "Go Blue!" long before "Go Buffs!", but when a relatively unknown defensive coordinator was hired to lead the Buffs, my interest was slightly piqued. By the time I reached high school Bill McCartney was building a solid foundation with homegrown talent like Jon Embree and I remember the day in 1986 when Boulder celebrated the win over Nebraska. In college I sold beer, watched Coach Mac win a championship, Rashaan Salaam win a Heisman and I was hooked forever. When Jon Embree was hired, I renewed my season tickets and hit the practice rail. I wrote up a few things for some relatives, forwarded them to a few friends, and then made it a blog. Now I find writing about my Buffies is fun, more informative and therapy! I'll post a few times a week during the season, less in the offseason, with news, musings and links. Go Buffs!

Saturday, September 22, 2012

Washington State Cougar Pre-triage outlook


§  There should be some continued shakeup in the lineups as the Buffs have to find answer to their spiraling season woes, especially on defense.  Who knows what those will be?  To paraphrase a Denver Post writer (Kizla I think): Who knows what really goes on behind those closed practices fences.
§  Upon viewing game film, Embree said most of the problems were attention to detail-that’s a lot of details I guess.
§  Surprisingly, some writers are still giving CU a chance, if they can do a number of things from better offensive line play, QBs taking advantage of weak WSU secondary, catch balls thrown to them, get some pressure on the Coug QB, not give up the big play, tackle well.   Like I said, a lot of details, a lot of ifs, too many to have any confidence.
§  Embree met individually with every player on the team this week to check in, keep them up and talk about the future.  I hope he is doing the same with his committed recruits.
§  There are numerous wildfires burning in the state of Washington and the air quality near Pullman is reportedly very smoky.  Residents are being advised to stay inside as much as possible and many high school and smaller college games in the area have been moved or postponed.  It will be interesting to see how this affects the players and the game.
§  Burn the Redshirt! The total rises to 13 as DE Samson Kafovalu (incorrectly reported as having played vs. Sac St.) and OG Jeromy Irwin got some serious garbage time vs. Fresno St. as they played all backups and got all but 3 dressed players (of 62) into the game, with six starting the game (Powell, Hobbs, Topou, Crawley, Wright, Mosley).  As there is still uncertainty at RB, we still might get to see Terrence Crowder, and I wouldn’t be surprised if TE Austin Ray gets his shot some time soon.  On the d-line I also wouldn’t be surprised if Kory Rasmussen has to or gets to play.  There’s not too many left though.
§  Game Captains: Srs. DT/E Wil Pericak and S Ray Polk along with Jrs. LT David Bahktiari and LB Derrick Webb were the captains for Fresno St.  These might be the usual captains for the rest of the season as they have been the leaders on and off the field, for whatever that is worth.
§  Depth Chart moves: There will be no coaching changes as have been called for by many outside the program, and no apparent depth chart moves, although Wil Pericak is listed as “co-starter” at both DE (with Kirk Poston) and DT (with Nate Bonsu).  R-Fr. walk-on Clay Jones is listed as number two inside Mike LB behind Brady Daigh (with Doug Rippy out one more week) but I would be surprised to see him play with Greer, Washington and Vigo having gotten the backup reps so far in Rippy’s absence.
§  Injuries: Woodson Greer III had a neck stinger but returned to the Fresno St. game.  S Ray Polk and LB Doug Rippy (expects to play vs. UCLA next week) are still out on the defense; C Gus Handler will travel but is questionable; his backup, Brad Cotner “ruptured a capsule in his foot” and is out a few weeks.  Greg Henderson is questionable, but reportedly will play.  S Marques Moseley tweaked a knee (was taken out at halftime of FSU, but snuck back onto the field) but should play this week.  CB Yuri Wright also sprained an ankle and CB Jeff Hall had a minor injury, but both are expected to be available. Not sure on RB Tony Jones who missed the trip last week with shoulder and ankle injuries and is listed “day-to-day”.
§  WSU is one of the growing number of schools that are not releasing any injury information, so we only know that their number one  RB Ricky Galvin is out, QB Jeff Tuel is unofficially questionable (likely will be backup), and numerous other players appear to have been held out or limited in practice.
When the Cougs have the ball:
§  Mike Leach and Washington St. are going to spread the field and throw all over the place against the young Buffs secondary.  They are literally drooling.  It doesn’t matter if it is Jeff Tuel or Connor Holliday at the helm.  Probably Holliday starts but Tuel will get his stats as well.  Tuel offers more as a runner, but Holliday is more of a gunslinger, who will go deep more often, but will also try to fit the ball in tight windows and is somewhat susceptible to interceptions.
§  They will spread out with five wide often, trying to hit the short crossing routes on the run.  CU will need to react quickly and either “blitz the shit out of them” (as former Buff LB Akarika Dawn suggest on NetBuffs.com) and/or play tight and jump the routes, going for big plays and taking the risks.  However, they will more likely sit back in a soft zone, give up a ton of short completions, hoping to tackle well and hold them to FGs.
§  Marques Wilson, as he showed last year in Boulder, is a big-time receiver and even “containment” of him would be considered a success.  Isaiah Myers and Gabe Marks are also capable. 
§  They don’t really bother to run the ball and are therefore one of the lowest ranked rushing teams, which means they will probably go off on the ground today, or at least break a few big plays on unexpected draws.
§  The CU defense for Fresno St. was supposed to have been simplified, and it definitely appeared that way, as the Bulldogs seemed to know exactly what was coming.  Once again, no adjustments were made and even the backups were killing the Buffs starters.
§  CB Greg Henderson should be able to play, which can only help the defense, but they still miss way too much without Polk in there keeping everyone in position and focused.
§  On top of that, the Buffs will continue to play numerous true freshmen on defense, including at least three starters: CB Crawley, S/Nickel Mosley, and Topou at DT.  Even though Yuri Wright may not start again for Henderson, he will play a lot regardless.  At least six other true frosh played on the defense last week and most should play again this week.  Expect many more growing pains though.
§  Crawley can stay with just about anyone; he just has no technique when the ball gets there.  He actually seems to be able to read the receiver’s eyes and know when the ball gets there but he doesn’t turn around, and gives up the reception, pass interference, or both (which is really embarrassing).  Teams will continue to pick on him until he corrects this.
§  DEs Sr. Wil Pericak  and Jr. Chidera Uzo-Diribe are supposed to be the leaders of the defense but (sorry guys) both were non-existent for much of that game.  The d-line got little pressure on the QB and did little to stop the run. Another position group playing a lot of guys who probably shouldn’t be out there yet or ever.
§  T-Fr. Samson Kafovalu is listed number two at one DE and Kirk Poston at the other, leaving former 4-star recruit Juda Parker number three on both sides.
§  The linebackers have made most of the plays, but too many were downfield.  They are supposed to be the strength and leaders of the defense, but they are not controlling the middle of the field.  This will be especially important with the way the Cougs throw the ball across the middle.  All the rotating here keeps them from being as sharp as they could be, even if they are all fresh.
When the Buffs have the ball:
§  Eric Bienemy will be pacing the sidelines for CU for the first time since his debut as coordinator.  This was a big topic of discussion at the onset of the first season, and has been discussed by many including EB and Embree, but it was ultimately decided that he would remain there…until this week, when EB again asked to come down to the sidelines.  Embree, who some say is not pleased with Bienemy because of some of his decisions have been contrary to Embree’s requests, finally gave the okay and we will see if it makes any difference.  QB Coach Rip Scherer will remain in the box with graduate assistants and EB will likely (hopefully) rely on Rip’s suggestions in the heat of the moment on the field.  He will certainly add more energy and fire to the sidelines (and loud cursing), and LT David Bahkitiari said that no one will be allowed to hang their head with EB nearby.  Coach Mac is a little worried about EB being too fiery and said, “"the single most competitive guy I've ever been around. I don't know whether that will work or not. He's a live wire…This will be interesting; keep the cameras on him.  Probably, too little too late with this one. 
§  In all likelihood, it will be Jordan Webb to start at QB, but Wood will definitely get some time again.  I don’t even know what to think about this position, where it appears we have three decent backups and nothing more. However, we certainly don’t know who will finish the game.  Here’s a prediction: Hirschman gets in the game again when it’s out of hand late.  Until someone takes control as the QB (and that may be Sefo or Shane next year or 2014), this offense will never find its groove under Bienemy.
§  WSU has given up a ton of yardage through the air, unbelievably ranking lower than the Buffs, and they are surprisingly solid against the run.  If the CU QBs are ever to do anything, this is the time to shine.
§  Their 3-4 attacking D utilizes a “Buck” linebacker, Travis Long, who moves all over the field and makes a lot of plays for the defense.  Webb and Wood and the offensive line will need to account for him at all times.
§  RB Christian Powell’s second effort was not nearly as significant as his first, but they were not able to get him as many touches since they were down 21-0 in the blink of an eye.  Unfortunately, this could be the trend more often than not.  They also tried almost everyone else (Ford, Abron, Creer, Goodson) for at least a series, without a lot of production (Ford’s, as usual was against backups), so I have no idea what their plan will be here either. Although he is not listed among the top five RBs on the depth chart, they have got to give Ford his shot in real game minutes. And why not see what T-Fr. Terrence Crowder can do, especially if he can catch and block out of the backfield, since they will be passing situations a lot.
§  The wide receivers are pedestrian at best and there is no number one, only a bunch of “threes”.  Gerald Thomas has a lot of potential, but the coaches have not gotten him enough touches, nor does he have the whole offense in his grasp yet.  He still needs to learn how to get open through other means than just his speed.
§  The tight ends are very similar to the receivers, in that no one has really stepped up.  Many of us were overanxious for Hobbs, but he too still relies on his speed which is not as big of an advantage anymore.
§  The offensive line…sigh…is a disaster, the biggest disappointment on the team, but all the younger guys got to play-Stephane Nembot and Marc Mustoe (bookends of the future?), T-FR. Jeromy Irwin, Alex Kelley, Brad Cotner.  With Cotner and Handler out, Munyer should slide to center, Harris to guard and we’ll see if its Dannewitz (hope not) or a younger guy like Nembot (hope so) or Mustoe.  The next center would either be starting LG Alex Lewis or T-Fr. backup guard Alex Kelley (who has played center).  I would not be surprised to see some other changes in the lineup here, regardless.  Of course, with “coach” Steve Marshall and this team, I wouldn’t be surprised with basically status quo either.
§  Overall, the offense is comprised of a lot of backup caliber players, who are not in tune with their offense and who do not get consistent, creative play calls that set them up for success.
§  Washington St. plays an aggressive 3-4 defense that has been getting pressure on the QB.  This sounds scary, but the offense could take advantage with some well-timed screens to the RBs, but it will probably just be scary.
Special Teams:
§  This area has not given up the big play and has been fairly consistent overall, making this the strength of the team so far, which is sad, since it too can only be considered mediocre, except maybe Darragh O’Neill (will he really be the team’s MVP at season’s end?) and the punting game.
§  Overall, it is just plain depressing.
§  If you really feel you need some more:

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