Sneak peek at next year's CU Buffs

The Buffs enter Mike MacIntyre’s first full offseason with a growing sense of hope but still with a lot of questions.  There are certainly many things and young players to be excited about, but the biggest areas of concern remain quite large, and the immediate answers do not appear to be on the roster, unless they are well hidden and as of yet unrecognizable.  The team does not lose a ton of seniors (14) and less than half of those were regular starters.  Of course, the biggest loss is in the form of a junior going pro. However, next year’s team will be loaded with around 25 seniors, with as many as 15 in contributing roles.  They also have a favorable schedule with three winnable non-conference games (always beatable csu, FCS UMass and winless Hawaii), plus no Stanford again in Pac12 play. Six wins and a bowl game will be a little more realistic and attainable, but by no means a certainty.  The current recruiting class appears to be shaping up nicely, but they don’t want to count on too many true freshmen again.  Here’s a first peek at how the roster and depth chart project for next season.  I would still expect more attrition by the time fall camp rolls around, especially right after spring ball.

Offense

QB: This is a position that does not have a lot of intrigue in the immediate future, except maybe who backs up Sefo next year.

Key returning: So. Sefo Liufau is the starter as he showed talent, poise and leadership as a freshman. The best news is that he still has a lot of room to improve and will work hard in the offseason studying film, working on his accuracy, especially with the long ball, as well as tightening up his footwork and mechanics.  Sr. Connor Wood will battle Jr. Jordan Gehrke for the backup job.

Key (or not so key) losses: Jordan Webb (real reason for “not so key” tag), Stevie Joe Dorman is transferring to West Texas so he can actually play.

Help on the way? Cade Aspay is the 2014 QB commit and most plans would have him redshirting this year, in order to be Sefo’s backup for two years before taking over down the road.

RB: This might actually be one of the deepest positions on the roster and returns the top three performers.

Key returning: Jr. Christian Powell, So. Michael Adkins and Sr. Tony Jones will likely to share the load again next year as they did this season, but I expect Adkins to eventually become the main ball carrier.  Jr. Donta Abron is next in line, plus Malcolm Creer, who has never fully recovered from his freshman knee injury.

Key (or not so key) losses: Only seldom-utilized FB/TE Alex Wood graduates from this grouping.  Terrence Crowder never worked his way back onto team after suspension.

Help on the way? Phillip Lindsay redshirted and is itching to go, now fully recovered and after having gotten a lot of praise and mentions of playing time in August, but could also end up at DB.  Sr. Josh Ford is petitioning for a 6^th year of eligibility based on his injury history, including all of last year.  There will be couple of recruits like Jomon Dotson, but one would have to swivel some serious heads in fall camp to crack this lineup.

WR: This group is also actually quite deep, even with the loss of Paul Richardson and rumored loss of Jeff Thomas, with a lot of talent still waiting in the wings.

Key returning: Troy Walters has a lot of experience to work with, starting with Jr. Nelson Spruce (developed into a really good receiver this year),  and three seniors, led by slot man DD Goodson (needs to be more consistent in route running) and less used Keenan Canty and Tyler McCulloch; but there is also a lot of young talent, beginning with So. Devin Ross, who showed some flashes, literally, and who P-Rich says is as fast as he is.

Key (or not so key) losses: The one loss is absolutely huge, and even with some talented youngsters, none are the game changer that P-Rich was.  Not sure if we count Jeff Thomas who could never get his crap together to get on the field.

Help on the way? RS-Frosh Elijah Dunston and Bryce Bobo (high praise from MacIntyre for scout team work) both have the potential to crack the rotation (leap-frogging Canty and McCulloch) and it would not be unheard of for a fast true freshman to sneak into the lineup as well.

FB: This is an interesting position, very similar to TE in the offense, which is a big reason TE/RBs are coached by one guy (Klayton Adams).  Like TE, is can become a bigger part of the offense if there is talent there, but it is also somewhat opponent and game plan dependent.

Key returning: Jordan Murphy was the “starter”, which actually amounted to one start. 

Key (or not so key) losses: Alex Wood, who also played TE.

Help on the way? The most intriguing redshirt might be George Frazier, who moved from LB late in camp and has impressed on the scout team.  He can certainly hit if he learns how to actually block, and could be a sneaky factor if he can also learn to catch and hold onto the ball.

TE: This is the grouping in biggest need of help as they desperately needed someone to catch the ball from here and take some pressure of Sefo.

Key returning: Sr. Kyle Slavin will most likely be the starter (I would love to finally see him blossom into a pass-catching weapon) with So. Sean Irwin backing up and playing in jumbo double TE packages.

Key (or not so key) losses: Scott Fernandez and Alex Wood will both be missed for their blocking and leadership, but rarely contributed in the passing game (until Scooter at Utah anyway).

Help on the way? Commit Dylan Keeney is in line for immediate playing time, and possibly even a starting slot if he can block well.  There are also a couple of intriguing, raw redshirts in 6’6 Robert Orban and 6’8 Connor Center, the baseball player who suddenly took up football and became a hot prospect. They definitely need more depth here.

O-line: Although they lose their two most experienced players, they were also the most penalized of the group.

Key returning: Srs. Daniel Munyer and Kaiwi Crabb (likely at center) in the middle, Jr. Stephane Nembot at right tackle (although he has got some work to do), Jr. Alex Kelley was main backup at guard.

Key (or not so key) losses: Although they were starters, C Gus Handler and LT Jack Harris were by no means irreplaceable.

Help on the way? Jeromy Irwin redshirted this year after a yard work injury and will probably battle fellow RS-Soph. Marc Mustoe for the tackle spot opposite Nembot. Alex Kelley was the sixth lineman last year and will take one of guard spots.  Jr. Brad Cotner can back up any of the three inside positions. RS-Fr. Jonathon Huckins was listed as emergency backup tackle all year while redshirting so maybe he can challenge for the tackle spot, but all others likely will be down the depth chart.  All 2014 commits should redshirt as is normally the case with lineman.

Defense

D-line: This was arguably the worst unit on the team and I am not sure the outlook is that much better as they lose their most talented pass-rusher, but do not have many more playmakers waiting in the wings.  A couple of guys will need to step up their game in the spring and summer if this defense is going to challenge anyone in the Pac12. 

Key returning: The Buffs do return a lot of d-linemen with experience; it’s just that they have not really been all that good up to this point. At defensive tackle they have returning starters Josh Tupou and Justin Solis, plus their top backup Tyler Henington, all juniors, but that is about it.  Defensive end is much deeper with Sr. Juda Parker and So. Jimmie Gilbert as the probable starters.  Sophs. De’Jon Wilson and Samson Kafovalu played both inside and out this year and will certainly be part of the rotation; Sr. Kirk Poston didn’t really play much this season but could be counted on for some veteran snaps all across the line where needed, likely inside.

Key (or not so key) losses: DE Chidera Uzo-Diribe, DT Nate Bonsu

Help on the way? There are a few DEs redshirting, Markeis Reed, Derek McCartney and Tim Coleman, who could easily crack the lineup next year, as well as 4 more d-lineman who have verbally committed, of which we should see at least one play immediately; if Lopez can keep up, he has the best size to help inside where they need it the most.  However, they could definitely use some more size and strength inside and I was a little surprised that they did not sign a JC guy here. 

LB: This position is a general strength, especially as the other two defensive units have struggled so much.

Key returning: So. Addison Gillam will lead this defense for three more years.  Woodson Greer III will suddenly be a senior and the other entrenched starter.  Sr. Brady Daigh is the likely third starter in the base package, but he will head to the sideline when they are in nickel, which will be more often than not in the Pac12.

Key (or not so key) losses: Derrick Webb will be a huge loss from a leadership standpoint, but when Greer was healthy, he was already starting to take snaps from Webb in the nickel package.  Paul Vigo was another good “locker room guy” who was a special teams stalwart.

Help on the way? Deaysean Rippy, cousin of former Buff star Doug, transferred from Pitt and was a four-star prospect out of high school, but has not gotten to play yet.  There are a bunch of other LBs on the roster, but not sure if any can crack the lineup just yet, including Sophs. Clay Norgard, Ryan Severson, Kenneth Olugbode, plus seniors KT Tu’umalo and Lowell Williams, all of whom have played a lot on special teams but very little on defense.  George Frazier is also a possibility but he is also working at fullback.  If one guy besides Rippy breaks through from that group, it would likely be Olugbode, who filled in for Derrick Webb quite well in the finale and upgrades the unit’s speed.

Safety: This group has been a huge liability in the speed department in the Pac12.  There are just too many good wide receivers that cannot be covered one-on-one, not mention some great tight ends and running backs who catch the ball as well.  This will start as a three-way battle but any true frosh will get his chance as well.  I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see a surprise name at one spot when they open the season.

Key returning: Sr. Jered Bell is a possible captain, but he was also benched in the finale and is not known for his speed. So. Tedric Thompson teamed with Jr. Marques Mosley for most of the Utah game and they were less scary.

Key (or not so key) losses: Really they just lose Parker Orms here, and more for his spirit and leadership than his overall play as Thompson played quite well in his absences.

Help on the way? The Buffs will get back Sr. Terrel Smith, who sat out this year after shoulder surgery.  Smith lends some experience and is small but a big hitter and has always found a way onto the field.  Otherwise, there is not much depth, unless someone moves from corner which is a definite possibility, maybe Sr. Josh Moten, who was also poised for a big year until injury, or one of the incoming CBs White or Sanchez.

CB: The Buffs return most everyone at corner, and even will have some depth next season, but they were still all roughed up quite a bit throughout this past year and gave up way too many yards, big plays and touchdowns.  Even with marked improvement from the previous campaign, this unit was still a weak spot in the defense and is in serious need of another huge leap.

Key returning: Even supposed “lockdown corner” Sr. Greg Henderson was beaten numerous times and quarterbacks were not afraid to go to his side this year.  Jr. Kenneth Crawley was much improved over his freshman seasonn but was still beaten a few times per game (he is a great open field tackler though). So. After Gillam, Chidobe Awuzie might have been the biggest freshman surprise last year, starting most games at nickelback; I actually expect him to take the starting job from Crawley.  Sophs. Jeff Hall and John Walker got some time also this year.

Key (or not so key) losses: They don’t lose any regular contributors here.

Help on the way? Yuri Wright took the year off to gain weight and get straight academically, and will probably be counted on to finally contribute. JC signee Akhello Witherspoon has size and speed and could have an impact immediately.  Moten could possibly help here as well, and it’s remotely possible that Philip Lindsay could end up here, although he excelled at RB on the scout team.  Incoming frosh Evan White and Jaisen Sanchez are more likely slated for a redshirt year.

Special Teams: This was once again an embarrassing aspect of the team, finding new ways almost every game to make a big play, in favor of the opposition.  Toby Neinas is a full-time, well paid coordinator with no other team responsibility and they were still well below average; they need improvement in almost every sub-area of special teams. Although they got better at both punt and kickoff coverage after a dismal beginning, they rarely even used their best weapon in O’Neill’s big leg, usually opting to have him with the “safer” directional rugby style, which he dislikes and they even managed to get one blocked anyway. 

Key returning: One more year of Darragh O’Neill punting and Wil Oliver placekicking.  Ryan Severson and Nelson Spruce both return (pun intended) but I would love to see them both replaced with someone faster.

Key (or not so key) losses: LS Ryan Iverson is graduating.

Help on the way? There will be a new long snapper as the Buffs used a scholarship on JC man Wyatt Smith who hopefully gives the unit a smooth transition after the very able Ryan Iverson graduated.  It is also very likely there will be a new kickoff specialist in Mexican Diego Gonzalez, who sat out due to ridiculous transfer rules, but has a huge leg and so could also be called upon for the 50-yard+ FG attempts.  As for the returners, I expect open competition with young receivers and DBs joining in; look for RS-Fr. RB/DB Phillip Lindsay, WRs Devin Ross (So.) and RS-Fr. Bryce Bobo and Elijah Dunston, plus a few true frosh to get a shot.

Christmas Recruiting Update

I guess it’s about time for a recruiting update to see what the Buffs are expecting for Chrsitmas.  And a lot has happened since the season ended.  It is currently a “dead period” where only phone contact is allowed, but the team hauled in five commitments over the last two weeks where they have hosted prospects two weekends in a row.  The Buffs already have two JC commits and at least one January enrollee who will all compete in spring ball and the coaches getting close to their quota with 21 total commits for the 2014 cycle (expecting 22-24 total).  My first inclination was that not many freshmen would be called upon this coming year, but now after compiling this, I am not so sure we won’t see a lot of these guys on the field, especially to shore up special teams.  JC signing day was December 18 and the full signing day for high schoolers is Wednesday, February 5. Coaches have been all over Texas and California and as far as Samoa.  While this class is not going to blow anyone away or get much national attention, it is once again filled with some solid guys that should provide a strong roster foundation going forward.  Here’s a little about the players at committed at each position group and where they might fit in the pecking order.

§  Junior College signees: The Buffs received “Letter of Intent” faxes from two JC guys who could help the team next year.  The first was long-snapper Wyatt Smith (Gulf Coast CC, MS) who is expected to compete and beat out a couple of walk-ons for the spot vacated by four-year starter Ryan Iverson.  Next was Akhello Witherspoon (Sacramento City CC) who is rated three stars as both a wide receiver and cornerback where he is projected to play in Boulder, plus he could help on special teams. Smith has three years to play two and Witherspoon has four to play three. MacIntyre said they were still recruiting one uncommitted JC player and I really hope it is a big lineman.

§  Colorado commits: CU only has two in-state commits at this point and it doesn’t sound like many more are still interested in the Buffs or vice versa as the biggest names have gone or will be going elsewhere.  Their first commit back during the summer was Silver Creek (Longmont) offensive lineman Isaac Miller.  Cherokee Trial’s S Evan White had a monster year and could compete immediately at a weak, slow position.  The rest of the class is heavily California based with a decent number of Texans and a couple of Utahns sprinkled in, plus one each from Hawaii and Mississippi.

§  Secondary: This is a group that improved greatly last year and only loses one senior, but could still certainly use some help and speed.  Besides White and Witherspoon, the Buffs also have a verbal from Jaisen Sanchez who could play at either CB or safety, plus WR Donovan Lee could get a look on defense.  Between special teams and Pac-12 offenses, it would not be a surprise if two or even this entire group got onto the field next year.

§  Linebackers: This is a relatively strong and experienced group on the roster, and although the new guys will provide depth, don’t expect to see another Addison Gillam from this group.  Grant Watanabe (San Antonio) is a little undersized but a playmaker, Rick Gamboa (West Hills, CA) is one of a few CU targets at Chaminade, Zach Brown (San Diego) flirted with San Jose St. but appears to be sticking with the bigger and better program.  All three are strong middle LB prospects and one of these guys could easily find a way to end up playing next year, especially on special teams.

§  Defensive Line: The team appears to be stocking up on rangy defensive end types who need to put on weight, but are woefully thin in the defensive tackle area.  Although there are five d-linemen listed, four are ends that need to put on weight and Sam Bennion (Logan, UT) won’t even join the team for at least two years after his Mormon mission. I doubt any of Jase Franke (Ventura, CA), Chrsitan Shaver (Sandy, UT) or Michael Mathewes (Mission Viejo, CA) can make an immediate impact, although one will probably find their way into the rotation (Ralphie Report’s Andy Ventura thinks it will be Mathewes).  Eddy Lopez (El Paso) is the one guy that has the size to play inside and therefore play sooner rather than later at a thinner roster spot.

§  Offensive Line: Recruiting classes usually have 4-5 offensive lineman, most of whom redshirt, and that should be the status quo for Miller, Josh Kaiser (Mission Viejo, CA) and even Elijah Rodriquez (Houston) who has had some late interest from LSU and Texas A&M.  Expect one more guy to commit and sign here.

§  Tight Ends: Dylan Keeney (Granite Bay, CA) started catching the ball this year and did quite well.  Hayden Jones (Sacramento) also played DE, but the Buffs are much better stocked there.  One of these guys, if not both, is certainly going to get on the field next year at the team’s weakest and thinnest position. I would not be surprised to see another guy signed here.

§  Wide Receivers: Lee Walker (San Diego) and Donovan Lee (West Hills, CA) both provide some speed and playmaking ability, but this may be a tough group to crack for a true freshman next year but you always want to add a couple guys each cycle no matter what. Both could factor on special teams and Lee could even end up at DB.

§  Running Backs: Another hard group to break into with everyone returning plus scout team star Phillip Lindsay and possibly Josh Ford if he is granted 6^th medical year.  The main name on the commit list is Jomon Dotson, who recently picked up an offer from new Washington coach Chris Peterson.  If he can play, the staff will find a way to get him touches and he could also factor into the return game.

§  Quarterback:  Usually each school will try to take one guy each cycle that they think can make a difference in their program and this year Cade Aspay from Canyon, CA is that guy.  He will most likely redshirt unless he surprises everyone even more than Sefo did last year with his ability and maturity.

§  Special Teams: Smith will most likely take over the long snapper position and he is supposedly great at getting downfield in coverage, much like Iverson was.  There will continue to be an infusion of freshmen speed into the return and coverage units because it is so needed.

2013 Season Review

If you had asked most anyone associated with CU football before Mike MacIntyre’s first season, I think most would have been quietly satisfied with a four win season.  This Buff team won as many games than as last two seasons combined, beat the teams they were supposed to beat including csu, improved on the field and in many statistical categories, and brought some life and hope back to the program.  As much as I was a supporter of Embree and his coaches, they were so obviously not ready to be at this level.   In general, I am quite pleased with the trajectory of the team now under this new staff, which appears will stay intact.  There is quite a lot to look forward to next year and beyond.  However, there were still quite a few head-shaking plays and decisions that leave me with some serious concerns, and there still exists a huge talent gap with the upper echelon of the Pac12. Here’s a look at some of the biggest positives, and negatives, to take away from this season, looking ahead to next.  I’ll take a closer look at next season’s squad as well as recruiting in upcoming posts.  In the meantime, Go Buffs! On the hardwood and anywhere else!

Biggest Revelations: P-Rich is so very good and we have been quite privileged to watch him.  It makes you wonder what Embree’s team might have done with him in the lineup, but makes you shudder trying to envision this year’s team without him, and makes you dream that he will decide to stay.

+Nelson Spruce developed into one hell of a receiver this year, showing excellent route-running and hands, and adding a ton of after the catch yards, mostly off a spin move the entire group has learned from Troy Walters.  Double Deuce was a great complement to P-Rich and will be Sefo’s main target next year.

+Sefo has been a pleasure to watch, showing incredible poise for a true freshman, even with his slight setback against Utah.  He can stick in the pocket, go through his progressions and take a hit, or run a little if needed.  He has developed a good chemistry with his receiving corps that will only get better.  He has been very good at holding on to the football, only making a few turnovers, and has a good knack to throw the ball low and/or outside where only his guy can get it.  He is only going to get better at his reads and accuracy. Coaches had talked about his maturity and leadership from the outset of camp.  I wonder how seriously they considered starting him right away.  If he had come in the spring, he might have won it outright.  He makes Buff fans excited for the future.

+Michael Adkins got a lot of hype in camp and we didn’t really find out why until they broke him out vs. Oregon St. He and Powell provided a very nice one-two (three with Jones) punch. This group will continue next year, but I expect Adkins to separate himself as he gets more experienced and comfortable.

+Addison Gillam literally came out of nowhere; having played at a small school up in the hills and far enough away that San Jose St. was the only school that really recruited him.  Luckily for us, he greyshirted and was so attached to the coaching staff that he came right along with them.  The coaches talked about him in early spring, but the assumption was that Brady Daigh would inherit the other inside LB slot next to Derrick Webb.  When the first depth chart came out, Gillam was at the top and never came close to giving it up.  He set all kinds of records and received a lot of national recognition.

+Chidobe Awuzie leap-frogged a lot of guys to become the nickel back, starting seven games and logging a ton of freshman minutes.  If you have read this blog at all, you know he is one of my favorite players and I expect him to have a huge sophomore campaign and take the starting job from friggin’ Crawley.

+The team was infinitely better than last in terms of committing penalties, which has plagued them for years.  MacIntyre said they had the least amount of penalties since the previous Mac era.  However, they did seem to commit them at the worst times and were most often committed by seniors; the latter point actually bodes well for the future.  They also had the fewest number of fumbles in the history of the program.

+This team was actually able to hang with many teams early, including being the first team this season to hold a lead on Oregon. If they can get over the hump up giving up big plays toward the end of the second quarter, they can be competitive in the second half and maybe steal a game or two next year.  Even when they did get behind big, this team never tanked and always kept fighting to the final gun.

Biggest disappointments: Although they were more competitive in general and later in most games, there were still too many blow outs to stomach, and enough awful  mistakes or gaping holes in the roster, game-planning and execution.  The biggest weakness is the gap between the Buffs and the rest of the Pac12 in speed.  Most of the positions highlighted here are listed because of a visible speed deficiency.

-The way the Buffs ended the first half in pretty much all their games was pathetic and this is where they most often lost games they were in early.  Ryan K from BuffStampede pondered on Twitter at some point what their score differential in the last five minutes of the first half was, so I did a little research.  They “lost” the last five minute of the second quarter 77-30, but that increases to 105-33 if you include the last 6:39.  They only “won” that segment twice, against csu and Cal (the only game where CU made the statement before halftime off a fluky “onsides” squib kick). Just for kicks, I also looked at the first five minutes or so of the second half and the Buffs were outscored there 48-20.  So, over that less than a full quarter of time, the Buff lost 153-33.  In their 8 losses they lost that segment 102-20.  Even in their four wins they only outscored opponents in that crucial time period 34-30, letting a couple of those teams stick around longer than they should have.

-Both lines were overmatched in most conference games.  This was never more apparent than against the Utes. Sefo was manhandled as the offensive line stood by and watched, while the defensive line was pushed backwards more often than not. The progress these two groups make will determine how far this team can go.

-Not sure if the tight end counts since it almost didn’t even exist.  This team needs weapons and this is a definite hole in the lineup that limits what Lindgren and Sefo can do.  There are only two scholarship players coming back and so far only one verbally committed.

-Even with two dedicated coaches, and although they improved mightily as a unit, the Colorado secondary was still an obvious weakness and had opponents’ QBs and WRs licking their chops.   There were certainly more effective than in the past, but there were still quite a few long passes over the heads of DBs.  When they were in coverage, no one ever looked back for the ball, resulting in countless catches and pass interference calls…even when they defensive player was actually in position, plaguing the defense all season long. The last game saw S Jered Bell and CB Kenneth Crawley both get benched after yet again (not?) doing just that.

This group, while generally strong tacklers when in position (probably from having gotten so much practice the last few years), does not seem to be able to make any type of physical play in the air for the ball with opposing receivers; which furthers the question of who the hell wins the jump balls in practice since the Buff receivers tend to have the same problem outside of Spruce?!

Special Teams: This unit gets its own special sub-heading under disappointments, especially since the Buffs have a full-time assistant dedicated to coaching this group.  While the poor play in this area did not lose them any particular game, it certainly didn’t do a ton (on purpose anyway) to help either, and the unit let a couple teams stick around way too long.

-How big are the blowouts without giving up the early kickoff returns?  If they are able to tackle, the csu and UCA games are never really in doubt at all.  This improved as the season wore on but remained a concern throughout the season as they still gave up some big returns.  This might not be a problem if they can kick the ball out of the endzone more consistently (see last note).

-Tackling in general was still shoddy down the stretch and worse for some reason on punt returns, which forced Darragh O’Neiil to have to resort to the rugby style he hates and that his blockers still managed to let get blocked by USC anyway.

-Therefore, Darragh must work on his hang time on straight traditional punts so he doesn’t outkick coverage,  doesn’t have to go rugby, and the team can get back to taking advantage of his huge leg and using it as a field position weapon. 

-While I also always thought they should take advantage of Darragh’s athleticism, I have since changed my mind based on his poor decision making instincts for fakes, and the cutesy Oregon-esque 2-point PAT formations are really not that beneficial.  This team should concentrate on the basics.

-Is Ryan Severson really the answer for kickoff return? He is not that fast, quick or explosive, and worst of all, hesitant after catching the ball.  Although he has a decent average, it’s because he usually takes it a few yards deep in the endzone and gets 22 yards out to the 18.  He rarely gets out past 25 so why bother.  On top of all that, he started fumbling toward the end of the year.  There has got to be a better option somewhere on the roster.

-Before you get all excited about their “success” with onside kicks, realize that two of their big plays--Oliver bouncing the ball off a Cal player for an inadvertent recovery and then Spruce’s return against same awful Cal team--were both flukes and usually when they tried one because they needed one, they did not recover.

Waiting in the wings: Besides the obvious true freshmen listed above (Sefo, Adkins, Gillam, Awuzie), there are a few other young gems on the roster that barely got to show their stuff this year, if at all. 

*DE Jimmie Gilbert was a little overshadowed with the standout play of Gillam and Awuzie on defense, but he made a ton of plays down the stretch and is the frontrunner right now to take Chidera’s spot on the d-line.

*S Tedric Thompson showed the ability to play with Pac12 players and was not any worse than Bell or Orms when he subbed for them-in fact, I can’t remember ever watching him ever chase a receiver from behind into the endzone as the other two have done frequently.  I think Marques Mosley might finally be ready to focus and get on the field as well, meaning seniors-to-be Bell and injured Terrel Smith have their work cut out for them to play in the final year as a Buff.

*Yuri Wright was one of the most talented and highly ranked prospects to join the Buffs recently, but so far has been a non-factor, playing sparingly as a freshman, and redshirting this last season to gain weight and get on track academically.  He could add a boost to the secondary if he can challenge for playing time.

*There is also a trio of young DEs who have all gotten high praise at some point and will certainly influence the rotation next season in Derek McCartmey, Markeis Reed and Tim Coleman.

*LB Kenneth Olugbode played some on special teams all year and admirably subbing for Webb the last game.  He will be competing with fellow sophomores Ryan Severson and Clay Norgard to crack the lineup behind Gillam, Greer and Daigh.

*The receiving corps just might be able to survive the loss of P-Rich with a stable of young speedsters waiting their turn. Devin Ross was the one frosh to break into the lineup this year and only had a few catches, but showed that he’s got wheels (P-Rich says as fast as he is) and got got valuable experience; he might even be called upon to start next year.

*Additionally, there are three more talented wide receivers that redshirted and have a lot of potential.  Jeff Thomas has all the physical size, speed and talent if he can stay healthy and get the mental side of it figured out.  Bryce Bobo received some praise as one of the young guys that has stood out most to MacIntyre.  Don’t count out Elijah Dunston either.  All increase team speed and could also factor into the return game.

*They also have a bunch of younger offensive linemen and the one with the biggest chance to crack the lineup next year is probably tackle Jonathon Huckins.

*I would really like to see George Frazier once he learns to play fullback.  He is huge and loves to hit as a former LB.  If he can learn to carry and catch the ball just a little he could be a quiet force on offense.

*Let’s hope one of the redshirts (Philip Lindsay or one of the receivers maybe?) or one of the incoming recruits can grab the kickoff and/or punt return (Spruce is fine, sure-handed but not necessarily an explosive game breaker) jobs.

*I can’t wait to see redshirt transfer Diego Gonzalez from Mexico boom the crap out of the ball on kickoffs and long FGs next year.

Adios Paul!

The biggest news of the end-of-the-season press conference was P-Rich announcing he was entering the NFL draft.  The only surprise was how quick the announcement came, which means there really never was any doubt in his mind and he had likely decided long ago.  He had an incredible career at CU, even with only playing one full season and parts of two more, he already holds 29 CU receiving records (according to MacIntyre) and would have shattered them all if had stayed (according to everyone).  P-Rich was also named team MVP at the senior banquet (full list of team awards below) and was the only Buff to be named to the Pac12 all conference team as selected by the coaches.  The only other Buffs recognized were honorable mentions LB Addison Gillam, RB Michael Adkins and K Wil Oliver.  There should be a few more accolades coming for Gillam.

Facilities Upgrade?  AD Rick George will meet with Regents Wednesday to present some changes he would like to make to the plan, which originally called for $170M to close North end of stadium, expand the Dal Ward bringing all athletic offices to essentially on place, and build a permanent practice facility.  George says the general "footprint" of the plan remains the same, but some elements might be moved around somewhat.  He also want to fast track the project, although how he intends to do that money-wise is unclear, since they fell woefully short of the bohnhead's ridiculous $50M December 1 goal.

Great piece by Stuart and CUattheGame on the senior class: http://www.cuatthegame.com/2013/heart-of-a-buffalo/

Award Winners: Here is the list of team recognitions from the end of the year banquet:

Zack Jordan Award (most valuable player): WR Paul Richardson
John Mack Award (outstanding offensive players): TB Christian Powell
Dave Jones Award (outstanding defensive players): ILB Addison Gillam
Bill McCartney Award (special teams achievement): ILB Brady Daigh, PK Will Oliver
Lee Willard Award (outstanding freshman): QB Sefo Liufau
Dean Jacob Van Ek Award (academic excellence): DT Nate Bonsu
Offensive Scout Player of the Year: TB Phillip Lindsay
Defensive Scout Player of the Year: DE Derek McCartney
Derek Singleton Award (spirit, dedication and enthusiasm): ILB Derrick Webb
Tyronee “Tiger” Bussey Award (inspiration in the face of physical adversity): OG Daniel Munyer
Tom McMahon Award (great dedication and work ethic): TE Scott Fernandez, WR Nelson Spruce
Eddie Crowder Award (outstanding leadership): OLB Paul Vigo, QB Connor Wood
Offensive Trench Award: C Gus Handler, OT Jack Harris
Defensive Trench Award: DE Chidera Uzo-Diribe
Best Interview (selected by team beat media): ILB Derrick Webb
Hammer Award (hardest legal hit of the year): SS Parker Orms
Buffalo Heart Award (selected by “the fans behind the bench”): SS Parker Orms

2013 Season Overview coming soon...

Last sunday morning streamofconsciouness rant

Well, that's a wrap, 4-8.  Another disheartening Pac12 loss riddled with stupid mistakes that once again dug a hole too deep.  Yes, it is nice that they don't give up and keep fighting, but if you do that from the outset, you can win the game sometimes. The team, especially the offense, was not in sync early and it was 14-0 before you could blink and it was not too long until 21-0. The defense was actually good enough to win, only giving up a few big plays, and only 3 second half points, but the offense could not convert when necessary, due to lack of execution but also terrible play-calling by Brian Lindgren.  The Buffs ran eight "and goal" plays from inside the 5 yard line and came away with 3 total points.  Their offensive line is not good enough to just smashmouth it in yet they keep calling Powell up the middle in those situations on first and second, setting up an obvious 3rd down pass.  Sefo had his worst day overthrowing everyone on the longer balls and fumbling twice with an INT. His receivers didn't help much with seemingly everyone letting a ball go through their hands; P-Rich literally dropped a an easy, perfectly placed pass with no one in three yards of him that would have changed the complexion of the game early.  As usual whenever they made a big play, whether it was Chido's strip and Gilbert recovery, the Spruce throwback to Sefo, the onsides kick, and Gillam's pick to give them 1st and goal at the 5 (followed by 3 runs with an incomplete on 3rd down) and Hall's fumble recovery (drive to 9 and kick FG).  After some awful play early (TE Jake Murphy was destroying them without much effort) the defense substituted almost the entire secondary with Tedric Thompson and Marques Mosley coming in at safety and Jeff Hall at corner (Orms injured early for sad ending to Buffalo Heart winner's career and then Bell finally benched along with friggin' Crawley),  The defense tightened and gave the team a chance but the offense and coaches could never repay them. When they got the fumble recovery late the offense drove down inside the 5 again, only to settle for a FG, instead of going for the TD, but "keeping within 2 scores-TD, 2-pt and FG.  Big whoop, especially since they turned around and gave up a FG to make it 2 TD difference again.  With a little over 7 minutes to go in the game, down 21-7, 4th and 3 at midfield...and they punt. Everyone then got so excited for Darragh's pin inside the 5 but it didn't matter for Utah-all they had to do was call a few running plays and take some time off the clock, which they did.  By the time the Buffs got the ball back, there was not really enough time to score twice. Even when they got the TD and tried an onside kick again, it failed and there just wasn't enough time left, even with getting one more defensive stop. There is not enough talent on the field to make decisions like that. Is the goal to win the game, or just stick around as long as possible?  You do gotta love that Sr. Scooter Fernandez had a huge day at TE and closed his career in style.  Year in Review, Recruiting Update and a Look Ahead coming in the next couple of weeks.

Last Preview of the Year-Utah Utes

§  I watched the Pac12 1 hour replay of the USC game and saw a lot to like and still a lot to shake my head at, but Utah is not nearly as talented of a team, although much better than Cal. So, here is everything I know, which may not be much, about the last game of the season. This isn’t really a rivalry game, even with a history of over 50 games (all of which were played before I was born), even though the road team has won the first two Pac12 matchups, but it is the obvious regional end-of-year pairing when everyone else has clear-cut, long-standing, true rivals.  If both teams had pulled off the upset last week, this game could have had a bowl berth on the line; instead, it and means nothing but a tiny bit of 10^th place pride. Both teams sit a 4-7, 1-7 in conference play, but Utah has played a much more difficult schedule, and remember, this team upset Stanford in Rice Eccles Stadium where they are especially tough.  Both teams and sets of fan bases think they should win this game.

§  Line: The Buffs are bad enough still that odds makers are still listing Utah as a two touchdown favorite at home, with the spread reaching as high as 16.5.

§  Injuries: True frosh WR Devin Ross suffered a concussion against USC and is questionable.

§  LB Addison Gillam tweaked his back late in the USC game but is expected to play Saturday.

§  LB Brady Daigh suffered a “lower leg injury” but will likely play.

§  LB Woodson Greer will not play due to lingering effects from a stinger.

§  There are a few other players who don’t get on the field much with concussions.

§  Other Roster Notes: Connor Wood, Wil Oliver and Nate Bonsu were named first team Pac12 All-Academic. Nelson Spruce, Stephane Nembot, Darragh O’Neill and walk-on DB Richard Yates named to second team, with Brad Cotner, DD Goodson, Tyler Henington, Daniel Munyer, Tyler McCulloch, Jordan Murphy, Christian Powell, and Jordan Webb named honorable mention.

§  Sr. Josh Ford is petitioning for a 6^th year of eligibility after missing all of this season and parts of others.

§  It is still unclear if this was the handiwork of disgruntled fans, but the houses of two CU football coaches have been TP’d in the last week, first with Coach MacInytre’s house getting hit pretty badly this last weekend, followed up by Jim Jeffcoat’s house was a few nights later.  There are rumors of a feud between the Monarch Varsity Girls and boys Basketball teams (Jay MacIntyre plays for the boys, Jeffcoat’s daughter for the girls), but it is all speculation at this juncture. 

When the Buffs have the ball:

§  The Buff offensive line will face a very tough test this week.  The Utes are 2^nd in the country with 36 sacks as the defensive line gets pressure on the QB with DE Trevor Riley racking up 8.5 and Jacoby Hale 6.5.

§  However, even with a good pass rush, they have still given up almost 300 yards a game through the air.

§  Last week was the first time in a while that Sefo did not make a ton of progress, and in fact started pressing instead of remaining poised, but he was facing an excellent defense.  He should be able to have a better day this week, although he may have to move around a lot to do so. 

§  I wonder if they don’t let Sefo run a little and keep the ball on the zone option a little more since it is the last game and injury is not as big of a worry.  Some QB draws and his scrambling can help counter the pass rush.  He will probably utilize some screen passes as well.

§  CB Keith McGill will likely draw P-Rich in coverage and it could be a long day for him as I expect Richardson to have a big game in what is almost for sure his last game in black and gold (unless he gets drafted by Pittsburgh).  They need to make sure he gets involved early (no first half catches last week) as it opens things up for everyone else.  Stat notes: P-Rich is one TD from tying both the single season (11-Derek McCoy) and career (22-Scotty McKnight) TD catch marks, 8 receptions from single season record of 78 (DJ Hackett),  and only 190 yards from first on all-time Buff receiving record of 2548 yards by Michael Westbrook.

§  Nelson Spruce could also have another big day.  He has really developed into a great receiver who runs great routes, has great hands (his TD catch against USC was really nice), and although is not a “burner”, he has deceptive speed and has worked on his spin move after the catch and getting downfield.

§  It will really help Sefo and the entire offense if they can not only get P-Rich involved early, but spread the ball around to others like DD Goodson (usually a one-play wonder), Devin Ross (Sefo and he just missed on a deep ball last week) or TE Kyle Slavin, who nobody pays attention to in coverage (see TD vs. Cal and I would actually love to see that play or a variation of the pass out of zone read again).

§  The Buff would love to control the clock but the running backs could find it difficult against a stout run defense.  It appears the team will continue, even into next season, using a three-headed (don’t think I can quite say) “monster” of battering Christian Powell, speedy Michael Adkins, and experienced, solid, you know what you get Tony Jones.  If they can find a little success here, it will really open up the passing game.

When the Utes have the ball:

§  Utah is down to its backup former walk-on QB and this is probably the Buffs’ biggest advantage, although Adam Schulz has played fairly well.  The defensive line needs to get some pressure on Schulz who is just not as talented as Travis Wilson (second QB in two years to have to hang up the cleats for good).  However, since it is the last game of the season, MacIntyre expects Schulz to run some more this week because they don’t have to worry as much about injury going forward.

§  The Ute o-line has been vulnerable with LT Poutasi giving up 7.5 sacks by himself.  Look for Chidera to attack him.  Jimmie Gilbert and Juda Parker both have been making some plays lately and can take advantage of doubles on Chidera in preparing to be the starters next season.

§  WR Dres Anderson is a big playmaker and is only 90 yards short of a 1000 yard season.  Utah will certainly try to get him there if they are close.  They also have WR Sean Fitzgerald (5 TDs), and TE Jake Murphy can make slow safeties pay.

§  RB Kelvin York and Bubba Poole are both decent as well, though not huge threats. 

§  Since Utah plays a more traditional offense and runs the ball a decent amount, and because Greer is out, senior LBs Derrick Webb and Paul Vigo will get to play a lot in their last shot at winning a Pac12 game in a Buff uniform. 

§  This is also Parker Orms’ last game so expect him to really leave it all on the field, but his overzealousness could easily lead to injury, whiff tackle or an ejection (thought he’d have a couple by now).  Jered Bell has had a penchant for making a big play this year, but also misses some big tackles.  If these safeties and Tedric Thompson can limit the mistakes and big plays, the defense will be alright.

§  The Buffs may not play as much nickel in this game, but I always am watching number 4 Chidobe Awuzie when he is on the field.

Special Teams:

§   The Buffs have found a way to make every mistake in the special teams blunder playbook, so I wonder what I have overlooked that they could still do poorly in a new creative way and what they will pull off.  If one team loses this area badly, they will probably also lose the game.

Overall,

§  I want to be able to pick the Buffs here, but it is difficult to do at this point.  Both teams are pretty bad in many areas, but Utah has generally looked better more often and longer into their losses.  The game will come down to who makes the least mistakes and takes advantage of the other team’s miscue.  This will be especially crucial in the five minute window before and after halftime, where the Buffs have been horrible and lost many games, having been outscored 105-33 in the last 6:39 of the second quarter and 48-20 in the first five of the third. I expect a low-scoring game, but the road team wins again! Buffs 27 Utes 17

§  If  you need some more since it’s the last game of the year:

Stuart’s TIPS: http://www.cuatthegame.com/2013/colorado-at-utah-a-preview/

Rumblin’ Preview: http://www.cuatthegame.com/2013/colorado-at-utah-a-preview/

Plati’s CU Game Notes: http://www.cubuffs.com/fls/600/gameday/utah13/cunotes.pdf?DB_OEM_ID=600

Utah Game Notes: http://www.cubuffs.com/fls/600/gameday/utah13/utahnotes.pdf

PS I am in the Pacific Takes Pac12 Fantasy Championship against “Huskier”!

Late reaction to USC game

The Buffs have certainly improved upon their overall record, effort and product from the past few seasons and kept fighting until the very end against USC.  Their lineup is littered with freshmen and sophomores with very few seniors in contributing roles and the lineup should be experienced and should be able continue to show improvement next year. However, there is still a huge talent gap and they still lost by 18 points at home, only getting the backdoor cover late against a tired defense that knew they had the win in hand. The Buffs made entirely too many mistakes to compete in a conference game against a good team.

If Paul Richardson indeed makes the jump to the NFL, will this team be able to compete and improve upon what they have accomplished this year?  The offense was almost non-existent in the first half, garnering only a couple of first downs and only once making it past midfield.  Once again the team made a string of mistakes in the closing minutes of the first half to turn a close game into a blowout.  The lines on both sides of the ball were getting pushed backwards all night (these two groups really worry me for next season).  Running plays rarely had any space and Sefo was running for his life most of the night.  The true frosh did not have his best game by any means, missing badly on a few passes and giving the ball away twice, but he was harassed all evening and his receivers dropped way too many balls when he was on target (7 or 8 at least, with 4 or 5 on early drives). Although the defense held USC in check at times, they gave up the big play at the most inopportune times as usual.  The defensive line got very little push and did not tackle particularly well.  Although Parker Orms played his Buffalo heart out for his whole career and again last night with limited snaps (and if you didn’t catch that, he also won the fans’ “Buffalo Heart Award”), and although Jered Bell had another big play with a fumble scoop and score to ignite the team to start the second half, they are slow and weak in the secondary.  The safeties are can’t keep up with opposing players and the cornerbacks, even though they can stay with receivers fairly well, don’t turn back for the ball and get beat on 50/50 balls way more often than not.  And they didn’t even have to face Marquise Lee yesterday, as he stayed back in LA to rest, although he would have played if they thought the outcome of the game would be in question.

And special teams…what can I say but that Toby Neinas is the most overpaid person on the staff and I have no idea what anyone makes outside of MacInyre’s $2M+.  He is a full time coach of the 3^rd unit that was once again terrible (even without giving up a huge return), with the glaring mistakes attributed directly to coaching.  First, I won’t even go into Ryan Severson being a slow choice to return kicks as he is not that quick or explosive and continues to be hesitant before he runs after catching the ball (oops, I just did); but besides making the decision to have Severson be the deep man, even with the now mentioned deficiencies, he is also instructed to, or at least given the green light to take the kickoff out of the endzone, even though he rarely (and when was the last time?) gets it out past the 20 let alone the 25 where they would get the ball after a touchback.  I don’t care if he averages 23 or 24 per return, because if you are taking it from 4 or 5 yards deep in the endzone, you are only getting the ball at the 18 or so, risking injury and fumble and giving up at least five to ten yards of field position each time! Second, teams usually choose to use the “rubgy” style punt because it is supposedly “safer”, but the Buffs still managed to let one get blocked (and luckily only for a safety and not a TD).  Darragh’s strength is his strength and ability to boom the ball (as witnessed as he was the choice for the free post-safety kick) but since Neinas can’t coach the team how to cover a punt and tackle, they have to do the rugby style and still suck at it.  Lastly, cover the damn ball when it is live and players are all around it!  This happened both on a punt that bounced off a Trojan but rolled out of bounds with three players looking at it, and again later on the onsides kick where it appeared three different Buffs got a hand on the ball, but USC recovered.

Best highlight? Actually it was during a timeout when limber cheerleader Ozell “O” Williams  did 57 consecutive back handsprings across the field to set a world record!  We’ll miss you O!

One last note: One thing that became clear was that the Buffs are definitely only the third worst team in the conference (could jump to only 4^th worst if they can beat Utah), as they are certainly ahead of Cal, but even Cal is light years above the worst group in the league, the infamous Pac12 officiating crew, which continues to stumble through games, missing calls, making strange calls, reversing calls, conferring forever on calls and never seeming to get anything right nor keep the game moving.  They started with numerous clock confusions early and continued on their way, letting DBs maul receivers throughout the evening (at least this seemed to be “consistent”), and kept everyone standing around while they were trying to figure things out over and over on a freezing night.  The best one was when they assessed a 15-yard penalty on CU after what would have been a big gain, moved the ball back but told USC that they could instead take the ball at the previous spot with loss of down (which is utterly ridicuolous?!), then figured out their stupidity only when the crowd and Buff sideline went ballistic, then moved the ball back again.  Additionally, on two separate punts, the incompetent refs made some very curious calls: 1) On one Darragh O’Neill punt, the Trojan returner appeared to meekly wave for a fair catch but then tried to run, which I believe, as a screaming Mike MacIntyre did, that this is a penalty, but the refs instead just blew the play dead and gave the Trojans the ball at the spot of the catch; 2) later, the USC return guy signaled for a fair catch but missed the ball, which bounced off the ground and straight up back into his hands, which should have made it a live situation and open to tackling, but the refs instead blew the whistle and stepped in to protect the inept returner and deny the Buffs the chance to make a play.  Often it just seems that they don’t know the rules and are scrambling to keep up with the action.  Most officiating crews throw the flag and signal or quickly tell the head ref what their call is, while this group throws the flag and then runs over to a huddle to confer what the call is or maybe what everyone thinks it should be, who really knows what they discuss, like a pitching mound conference in baseball.

Univeristy of Southern California Trojan Brrrrrrreview

Many in Buff nation were vocal in their support for Lane Kiffin earlier in the season, in hopes that he would still be at USC when the Trojans came to Boulder.  Alas, instead we have the 5-1 under fiery Southern interim coach Ed Orgeron, once again ranked and relevant Southern Cal coming into town on a wave of momentum after having upset Stanford last week. However, could there be a slight hangover from that huge win, and possibly the distraction a potentially Pac12 South-deciding showdown next week against UCLA?  Let’s hope so, as that scenario is probably the Buffs best chance at getting this upset win to keep their slim bowl hopes alive.  The Bruins play ASU this week, and if the Wildcats win (game will be done before kickoff at Folsom) they win the Pac12 South and USC has a little less to play for which could be one more small factor in CU’s favor; or, if UCLA wins, it makes next week’s LA showdown even bigger (if Arizona were also to beat ASU next week, USC could go to Pac12championship game with a win) and the Trojans might peek ahead.  Every little bit will help.

It will definitely be cold and possibly snowing.  MacIntyre said cold or bad weather isn’t really a problem, once you get going. Therefore, a strong start from the Buffs will be important, both in limiting USC and taking advantage of any mistakes, and especially finishing and getting into the endzone once they hit that “28-yard line wall”.

§  Line: Even I was little surprised that visiting #23 USC opened as a 22 point favorite, so hopefully that provides a little more motivation for the Buffs.

§  Weather Notes: Although it is doubtful there will be any significant precipitation, the forecast for the game is friggin’ cold and will likely chase away numerous fans from an already small crowd without many students who have already left for vacation.  CU gave away 4 free tickets to every season ticket holder, but that won’t be able to make up the difference. All six (2 season +4 free) of my tickets (well, five for sure) will be filled with black and gold clad Buff fans. Unfortunately, most pregame outdoor activities have been cancelled, with some moved indoors, including our regular tailgate.

§  The worst consequence is that Ralphie may not run, depending on field conditions.  I wonder if making this announcement ahead of time has anything to do with the HBO Real Sports segment on live animal mascots that showed how revered and doted on these animals are, as well as the view that they are mistreated by being in environments so foreign to their natural habitats, even though most of these animals were never able to be in the wild. The über-critical lady from PETA, who probably had a few valid points, had herself on the verge of tears for her entire interview.  I don’t remember a season when Ralphie didn’t run for whatever reason at more than one game.

§  Senior Night: The Buffs will be saying goodbye to fourteen (16?) total seniors, including a number of key seniors like C Gus Handler, LT Jack Harris, DE Chidera Uzo-Diribe, DT Nate Bonsu, LB Derrick Webb, S Parker Orms, long snapper Ryan Iverson, who all played and contributed regularly, as well as other fan favorites like TEs Scott “Scooter” Fernandez and Alex Wood, LB Paul Vigo, plus some others who didn’t really play much if at all.  The best news though is that this list is really not that long.

§  Of course, this could very well be WR Paul Richardson’s last home game as well.

§  The group of fans in charge of the Buffalo Heart Award circulated tailgates and stands last week getting the crowd’s vote to recognize the senior who has given it all and gone through the most, no matter what their role.  Nate Bonsu (multiple injuries) is one deserving candidate, Parker Orms (overcame size questions, multiple injuries) was the one I heard most mentioned and the favorite in my opinion, but I voted for Scooter, who moved d-line to o-line to TE as a walk-on and managed to earn a scholarship from two different coaching staffs and end his career as a some time starter.

§  Injuries: P-Rich has commented that he is only around 70% but that he can still help the team.

§  Overall, the Buffs (please knock on nearest wood) have continued to stay amazingly healthy, having lost very few relative “starter” games, especially with key players on both sides of the ball.

§  S Parker Orms is expected to play, recovered from his stinger, but LB Woodson Greer was still questionable.

§  RB Josh Ford’s ankle is still not 100% and he is going to petition for a redshirt and a 6^th year of eligibility.

§  USC on the other hand, has had a slew of injuries to an already sanction-depleted roster too long to list. They only used 13 total players on defense last week.

When the Buffs have the ball:

§  MacIntyre said that you have to keep the Trojans off balance on defense because they are so good against both the run and the pass.  I can’t wait to see what Lindgren pulls out of the bag.

§  When they get in the red zone they have to be more creative.  I will literally scream high-pitched like a little girl throwing a tantrum is they get first and goal and run it up the middle on first down and I cannot be responsible for myself if they gain nothing and then do it again, leaving themselves 3^rd and goal from the 8 or 9…again.

§  They need to hold on to the ball and not give away any turnovers because USC will capitalize.

§  USC defensive starters all played almost the entire Stanford game without substitutes (only two others even played on defense and one only sparingly) because of roster limitations further attrition because of injury.  If that is the case this week as well, the group should be very tired by game’s end at altitude.  It will behoove the CU offense to line up quickly and keep the ball moving, to keep the SC offense off the field and their defense on the field as much as possible and sucking wind.

§  However, USC has been playing great defense and not giving up many points, especially in the deeper passing game, where they shut down Stanford.  They have given up some rushing yards though, so Powell and Adkins could have good days and eat some clock.

§  Sefo is coming off his best game and is playing with confidence and needs to stay on this course.  He has to continue to stay in the game plan, keep poised in the pocket as he has done from his first snap and continue to get the ball to P-Rich and Nelson Spruce.  I have written numerous times that they need to spread the ball around more, but if teams keep giving those two space to catch the ball, then keep feeding it to them.

§  However, with the weather, I think they will be overall conservative with just a few wrinkles.  Sefo will concentrate on keeping the ball safe and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him keep it a few more times.

§  It was nice to see the way they got an easy TD with the tight end and they should be able to benefit by the attention given to the position or do it again. Slavin was wide open on a variation of the zone option read where everyone committed to the run and Slavin walked unmolested forward for easy score.  Sean Irwin actually got the start and it would be nice to see them hit him when no one was looking.

§  Do everything S/LB hybrid Dion Bailey is a beast in the middle and makes all kinds of plays. 

§  USC always has talented, fast defensive backs and S Su’a Cravens, a top target of Embree’s staff, is yet another and has had immediate impact.

§  Overall, SC defenders are much faster than Cal’s (and Colorado’s for that matter) at every position.  The front seven, led by DE Leonard Williams, who even limited by a shoulder injury has been effective, and LBs Devon Kennard and Hayes Pullard.

When the Trojans have the ball:

§  QB Cody Kessler has gotten better every week since separating from the influence of Lane Kiffin and so has the offense.  Kessler just does what he needs to do, effective, but gaining the dreaded “game manager” tag.  Kessler has a strong cast to work with, deeper on offense at the skill positions than on defense.

§  USC does have a stable of running backs, which is good for them, since almost all of them have been injured at some point this season.  But all are very effective and I believe four different guys have had a 100-yard game this year (or at least close to it)-Silas Redd (questionable with ankle), Tre Madden (solid whenever healthy and appears to be now), Javarious Allen (unknown factor early but hot hand with 7 TDs in last 3 games), plus Justin Davis (out for season)-and all have shown the ability to break a long one. This is their bread and butter (maybe not quite like the student body right days) and no matter whom it is they will run the ball a lot, especially considering the weather conditions. 

§  WR Marquise Lee has been a disappointment statistics wise with injuries and teams focusing on him, but he is still a huge threat, especially with the development of Nelson Agholor.  Lee was hobbling after the game last week but is expected to play (just like his former high school teammate Paul Richardson).  Crawley, Henderson and Chido will really have to be on their game.

§  Everyone on the Colorado defense has to play even better than they did last week (their best game of the season I might add) in order to slow down the Trojan offense enough for Sefo and crew to keep up.  They cannot be lazy on tackles as jerseys will be just a little slick even if there is no precipitation.  USC is definitely talented enough to take advantage of mistakes.

§  The Trojan offensive line may not be that big but they are very athletic and talented; Chidera said he thinks they are “the best offensive line that we play all year.”  I personally don’t expect the Buff defensive line to have much success against them, which means Kessler will have some time when he wants to throw and the running backs should find some holes. 

§  Look for LB Derrick Webb to have a huge day in his last game at Folsom and Addison Gillam to have another solid day, but they are not enough alone.  Someone will need to make a play or two on defense for the Buffs to have a chance.

Special Teams:

§  Agholor has also been lethal on returns and this will be a much stiffer test than Cal’s bumbling unit last week.  I think Darragh will be directional rugby-style punting a lot, but I could also see some trickeration happening as well.

§  Wil Oliver’s range will be shortened with the cold, but he really needs to connect on any chances he gets inside the 25 or so.  The return coverage team will need to be on its game because the kickoffs will likely be short with the cold.

§  This game could very easily be decided by one or two big plays, and special teams could certainly provide them.   So, the Buffs have to not give up the big return, and it would be a fabulous game for Severson or Spruce to finally break one!

§  Overall, it is hard to pick the Buffs here based on talent alone.   However, with the home field, altitude, weather, senior day, bowl carrot and USC at a perfect “trap” position in the schedule, if the Buffs can find a way to make a few big plays (and get a couple of good bounces or breaks) while limiting the Trojans’ big plays, they just might pull it off.  Colorado 29 Southern Cal 27.  Go Buffs!  Make me look like a genius!

§  If  you need some more to help stay warm until kickoff:

Stuart’s TIPS: http://www.cuatthegame.com/2013/no-23-usc-at-colorado-a-preview/

Rumblin’ Preview: http://rumblinbuff.blogspot.com/2013/11/2013-usc-football-preview.html#more

Plati’s CU Game Notes: http://www.cubuffs.com/fls/600/gameday/usc13/cunotes.pdf?DB_OEM_ID=600

USC Game Notes: http://www.cubuffs.com/fls/600/gameday/usc13/uscnotes.pdf?DB_OEM_ID=600