If you had asked most
anyone associated with CU football before Mike MacIntyre’s first season, I
think most would have been quietly satisfied with a four win season. This Buff team won as many games than as last
two seasons combined, beat the teams they were supposed to beat including csu,
improved on the field and in many statistical categories, and brought some life
and hope back to the program. As much as
I was a supporter of Embree and his coaches, they were so obviously not ready
to be at this level. In general, I am quite
pleased with the trajectory of the team now under this new staff, which appears
will stay intact. There is quite a lot
to look forward to next year and beyond.
However, there were still quite a few head-shaking plays and decisions
that leave me with some serious concerns, and there still exists a huge talent
gap with the upper echelon of the Pac12. Here’s a look at some of the biggest
positives, and negatives, to take away from this season, looking ahead to next. I’ll take a closer look at next season’s
squad as well as recruiting in upcoming posts.
In the meantime, Go Buffs! On the hardwood and anywhere else!
Biggest
Revelations: P-Rich is
so very good and we have been quite privileged to watch him. It makes you wonder what Embree’s team might
have done with him in the lineup, but makes you shudder trying to envision this
year’s team without him, and makes you dream that he will decide to stay.
+Nelson Spruce developed
into one hell of a receiver this year, showing excellent route-running and
hands, and adding a ton of after the catch yards, mostly off a spin move the entire
group has learned from Troy Walters.
Double Deuce was a great complement to P-Rich and will be Sefo’s main
target next year.
+Sefo has been a pleasure
to watch, showing incredible poise for a true freshman, even with his slight
setback against Utah. He can stick in
the pocket, go through his progressions and take a hit, or run a little if
needed. He has developed a good
chemistry with his receiving corps that will only get better. He has been very good at holding on to the
football, only making a few turnovers, and has a good knack to throw the ball
low and/or outside where only his guy can get it. He is only going to get better at his reads
and accuracy. Coaches had talked about his maturity and leadership from the
outset of camp. I wonder how seriously
they considered starting him right away.
If he had come in the spring, he might have won it outright. He makes Buff fans excited for the future.
+Michael Adkins got a lot
of hype in camp and we didn’t really find out why until they broke him out vs.
Oregon St. He and Powell provided a very nice one-two (three with Jones) punch.
This group will continue next year, but I expect Adkins to separate himself as
he gets more experienced and comfortable.
+Addison Gillam literally
came out of nowhere; having played at a small school up in the hills and far
enough away that San Jose St. was the only school that really recruited
him. Luckily for us, he greyshirted and
was so attached to the coaching staff that he came right along with them. The coaches talked about him in early spring,
but the assumption was that Brady Daigh would inherit the other inside LB slot
next to Derrick Webb. When the first
depth chart came out, Gillam was at the top and never came close to giving it
up. He set all kinds of records and
received a lot of national recognition.
+Chidobe Awuzie leap-frogged
a lot of guys to become the nickel back, starting seven games and logging a ton
of freshman minutes. If you have read
this blog at all, you know he is one of my favorite players and I expect him to
have a huge sophomore campaign and take the starting job from friggin’ Crawley.
+The team was infinitely
better than last in terms of committing penalties, which has plagued them for
years. MacIntyre said they had the least
amount of penalties since the previous Mac era.
However, they did seem to commit them at the worst times and were most
often committed by seniors; the latter point actually bodes well for the future. They also had the fewest number of fumbles in
the history of the program.
+This team was actually
able to hang with many teams early, including being the first team this season
to hold a lead on Oregon. If they can get over the hump up giving up big plays
toward the end of the second quarter, they can be competitive in the second
half and maybe steal a game or two next year.
Even when they did get behind big, this team never tanked and always
kept fighting to the final gun.
Biggest
disappointments:
Although they were more competitive in general and later in most games, there
were still too many blow outs to stomach, and enough awful mistakes or gaping holes in the roster,
game-planning and execution. The biggest
weakness is the gap between the Buffs and the rest of the Pac12 in speed. Most of the positions highlighted here are
listed because of a visible speed deficiency.
-The way the Buffs ended
the first half in pretty much all their games was pathetic and this is where
they most often lost games they were in early.
Ryan K from BuffStampede pondered on Twitter at some point what their
score differential in the last five minutes of the first half was, so I did a
little research. They “lost” the last
five minute of the second quarter 77-30, but that increases to 105-33 if you
include the last 6:39. They only “won”
that segment twice, against csu and Cal (the only game where CU made the
statement before halftime off a fluky “onsides” squib kick). Just for kicks, I
also looked at the first five minutes or so of the second half and the Buffs
were outscored there 48-20. So, over
that less than a full quarter of time, the Buff lost 153-33. In their 8 losses they lost that segment
102-20. Even in their four wins they
only outscored opponents in that crucial time period 34-30, letting a couple of
those teams stick around longer than they should have.
-Both lines were overmatched
in most conference games. This was never
more apparent than against the Utes. Sefo was manhandled as the offensive line
stood by and watched, while the defensive line was pushed backwards more often
than not. The progress these two groups make will determine how far this team
can go.
-Not sure if the tight end
counts since it almost didn’t even exist.
This team needs weapons and this is a definite hole in the lineup that
limits what Lindgren and Sefo can do.
There are only two scholarship players coming back and so far only one
verbally committed.
-Even with two dedicated
coaches, and although they improved mightily as a unit, the Colorado secondary
was still an obvious weakness and had opponents’ QBs and WRs licking their chops. There were certainly more effective than in
the past, but there were still quite a few long passes over the heads of DBs. When they were in coverage, no one ever
looked back for the ball, resulting in countless catches and pass interference
calls…even when they defensive player was actually in position, plaguing the
defense all season long. The last game saw S Jered Bell and CB Kenneth Crawley
both get benched after yet again (not?) doing just that.
This group, while generally
strong tacklers when in position (probably from having gotten so much practice
the last few years), does not seem to be able to make any type of physical play
in the air for the ball with opposing receivers; which furthers the question of
who the hell wins the jump balls in practice since the Buff receivers tend to
have the same problem outside of Spruce?!
Special
Teams: This unit gets
its own special sub-heading under disappointments,
especially since the Buffs have a full-time assistant dedicated to coaching
this group. While the poor play in this
area did not lose them any particular game, it certainly didn’t do a ton (on
purpose anyway) to help either, and the unit let a couple teams stick around
way too long.
-How big are the blowouts
without giving up the early kickoff returns?
If they are able to tackle, the csu and UCA games are never really in
doubt at all. This improved as the
season wore on but remained a concern throughout the season as they still gave
up some big returns. This might not be a
problem if they can kick the ball out of the endzone more consistently (see
last note).
-Tackling in general was
still shoddy down the stretch and worse for some reason on punt returns, which
forced Darragh O’Neiil to have to resort to the rugby style he hates and that
his blockers still managed to let get blocked by USC anyway.
-Therefore, Darragh must
work on his hang time on straight traditional punts so he doesn’t outkick
coverage, doesn’t have to go rugby, and
the team can get back to taking advantage of his huge leg and using it as a
field position weapon.
-While I also always
thought they should take advantage of Darragh’s athleticism, I have since
changed my mind based on his poor decision making instincts for fakes, and the
cutesy Oregon-esque 2-point PAT formations are really not that beneficial. This team should concentrate on the basics.
-Is Ryan Severson really
the answer for kickoff return? He is not that fast, quick or explosive, and
worst of all, hesitant after catching the ball.
Although he has a decent average, it’s because he usually takes it a few
yards deep in the endzone and gets 22 yards out to the 18. He rarely gets out past 25 so why
bother. On top of all that, he started fumbling
toward the end of the year. There has
got to be a better option somewhere on the roster.
-Before you get all excited
about their “success” with onside kicks, realize that two of their big
plays--Oliver bouncing the ball off a Cal player for an inadvertent recovery
and then Spruce’s return against same awful Cal team--were both flukes and usually
when they tried one because they needed one, they did not recover.
Waiting
in the wings: Besides
the obvious true freshmen listed above (Sefo, Adkins, Gillam, Awuzie), there
are a few other young gems on the roster that barely got to show their stuff
this year, if at all.
*DE Jimmie Gilbert was a
little overshadowed with the standout play of Gillam and Awuzie on defense, but
he made a ton of plays down the stretch and is the frontrunner right now to
take Chidera’s spot on the d-line.
*S Tedric Thompson showed
the ability to play with Pac12 players and was not any worse than Bell or Orms
when he subbed for them-in fact, I can’t remember ever watching him ever chase
a receiver from behind into the endzone as the other two have done frequently. I think Marques Mosley might finally be ready
to focus and get on the field as well, meaning seniors-to-be Bell and injured
Terrel Smith have their work cut out for them to play in the final year as a
Buff.
*Yuri Wright was one of the
most talented and highly ranked prospects to join the Buffs recently, but so
far has been a non-factor, playing sparingly as a freshman, and redshirting
this last season to gain weight and get on track academically. He could add a boost to the secondary if he
can challenge for playing time.
*There is also a trio of
young DEs who have all gotten high praise at some point and will certainly
influence the rotation next season in Derek McCartmey, Markeis Reed and Tim
Coleman.
*LB Kenneth Olugbode played
some on special teams all year and admirably subbing for Webb the last game. He will be competing with fellow sophomores Ryan
Severson and Clay Norgard to crack the lineup behind Gillam, Greer and Daigh.
*The receiving corps just
might be able to survive the loss of P-Rich with a stable of young speedsters
waiting their turn. Devin Ross was the one frosh to break into the lineup this
year and only had a few catches, but showed that he’s got wheels (P-Rich says
as fast as he is) and got got valuable experience; he might even be called upon
to start next year.
*Additionally, there are
three more talented wide receivers that redshirted and have a lot of
potential. Jeff Thomas has all the
physical size, speed and talent if he can stay healthy and get the mental side
of it figured out. Bryce Bobo received
some praise as one of the young guys that has stood out most to MacIntyre. Don’t count out Elijah Dunston either. All increase team speed and could also factor
into the return game.
*They also have a bunch of
younger offensive linemen and the one with the biggest chance to crack the
lineup next year is probably tackle Jonathon Huckins.
*I would really like to see
George Frazier once he learns to play fullback.
He is huge and loves to hit as a former LB. If he can learn to carry and catch the ball
just a little he could be a quiet force on offense.
*Let’s hope one of the
redshirts (Philip Lindsay or one of the receivers maybe?) or one of the
incoming recruits can grab the kickoff and/or punt return (Spruce is fine,
sure-handed but not necessarily an explosive game breaker) jobs.
*I can’t wait to see redshirt
transfer Diego Gonzalez from Mexico boom the crap out of the ball on kickoffs
and long FGs next year.
Yo David,
ReplyDeleteHope you caught the Tad Boyle's Buffs taking down Kansas today.
Back to football, one of the key things for Mac's program is the trenches. Our offensive line was completely manhandled by Pac-12 opponents. Our D-line is making strides against the run, but still have yet to become a good pass rushing team.
It's an old adage in football that the games are won or lost in the trenches. And our O-line, particularly the tackes (Nembot and Harris) were hung out to dry. As Matt McChesney said in an interview, those two were "beaten like drums" every game.
I know that Harris is graduating, but I am concerned about Nembot. No one doubts the big guy has a ton of potential, but as the old saying goes, "potential means you ain't done it yet." I can't tell you how many times Nembot was the guy standing by himself after his guy smoked our quarterback. I hear the guy is very smart, but maybe he is just not mean enough to be a football player.
In any case, I hope that all those young linemen that redshirted (both O and D) make a big difference next year. After seeing what Sports Performance Director Dave Forman has done with reducing injuries and building up Josh Scott, I am excited to see how much bigger and stronger our guys will be next season. It doesn't matter how many "weapons" we have if the QB has no time to get them the ball or if no one blocks for them.
Lastly, I hope all the recruits taking official visits this weekend were on hand for the Kansas game. The madness on the court after the game would get ANY recruit excited about CU.
Mark
Boulderdevil